Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.913654 10.244519 11.665087 13.289678 15.091465 17.023822 19.248112
2025-02-16 6.453058 8.166564 10.134212 12.542394 15.390780 18.632649 22.580409
2025-02-23 4.753825 6.604309 8.881944 11.848894 15.565409 20.018868 25.706124
2025-03-02 3.639233 5.530354 8.015524 11.443036 15.961496 21.623561 29.152348
2025-03-09 2.916952 4.823831 7.486248 11.351865 16.681623 23.621890 33.170011
2025-03-16 2.327508 4.185923 6.938538 11.135027 17.166980 25.301259 36.838739
2025-03-23 2.055140 3.969344 6.948107 11.674115 18.697536 28.433440 42.573840
2025-03-30 1.739637 3.620699 6.700808 11.788385 19.603437 30.732480 47.270620
2025-04-06 1.382145 3.126984 6.148228 11.358961 19.647160 31.784780 50.250439
2025-04-13 1.082887 2.673187 5.589256 10.841197 19.486357 32.494558 52.734893
2025-04-20 0.974658 2.568171 5.615879 11.278935 20.830317 35.477531 58.626444
2025-04-27 0.936562 2.600474 5.890877 12.155687 22.922118 39.673971 66.464457
2025-05-04 0.854777 2.528108 5.971287 12.717083 24.565250 43.310538 73.697410
2025-05-11 0.727195 2.323267 5.768199 12.749378 25.326376 45.612222 79.010478
2025-05-18 0.592460 2.066234 5.421266 12.476216 25.538840 47.045565 83.039240
2025-05-25 0.488291 1.858145 5.142892 12.298410 25.893269 48.709040 87.476376
2025-06-01 0.416481 1.717997 4.989408 12.343557 26.635785 51.024676 93.010334
2025-06-08 0.344188 1.553284 4.752866 12.192344 27.001218 52.716923 97.593567
2025-06-15 0.323134 1.545243 4.886415 12.820379 28.848985 56.981999 106.485726
2025-06-22 0.281171 1.453736 4.801071 12.971622 29.797730 59.739723 112.988747
2025-06-29 0.220960 1.273115 4.458185 12.523392 29.557082 60.417594 116.060357
2025-07-06 0.168618 1.096420 4.089895 11.971831 29.064710 60.614675 118.312135
2025-07-13 0.155829 1.080646 4.165168 12.450918 30.661840 64.591497 127.081496